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COVID-19
s
Absolute Number of Acute Care Cases
Acute Care Cases per 100.000 Capita
Acute Care Bed Utilization in % of total Capacity
Absolute Number of Critical/Intensive Care Cases
Critical/Intensive Care Cases per 100.000 Capita
Critical/Intensive Care Bed Utilization in % of total Capacity
Mobility (Apple)
Mobility (Google)
Response Stringency
Travel Restrictions
Public Health Restrictions
s
Absolute Number of Acute Care Beds
Acute Care Beds per 100.000 Capita
Absolute Number of Critical/Intensive Care Beds
Critical/Intensive Care Beds per 100.000 Capita
Health Expenditure in % of GDP
Health Expenditure in US$ per Capita
Absolute Population
Population Density
Urban Population
Median Age
Absolute Population over 65 yo
Population Share of over 65 yo in %
Fertility Rate
Absolute GDP in US$
GDP in US$ per Capita
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Initial Parameters
Countries
Date Range
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Simulation
Country
Start Date
Simulation Horizon in Days
Incubation Period in Days
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0 non-SARS Corona [2009 Lessler e al.]
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0 [2020 Linton et al.], SARS-Cov-1 [2003 Varia et al.]
5.1 default [2020 Lauer et al.]
5.2 [2020 Li et al.]
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
5.8
5.9
6.0
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4 [2020 Backer et al.]
6.5
Infectious Period in Days
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
4.1
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
5.8
5.9
6.0
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.6
6.7
6.8
6.9
7.0
7.1
7.2
7.3
7.4
7.5
7.6
7.7
7.8
7.9
8.0
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
8.5
8.6
8.7
8.8
8.9
9.0
9.1
9.2
9.3
9.4
9.5
9.6
9.7
9.8
9.9
10.0
10.1
10.2
10.3
10.4
10.5
10.6
10.7
10.8
10.9
11.0 default
11.1
11.2
11.3
11.4
11.5
11.6
11.7
11.8
11.9
12.0
12.1
12.2
12.3
12.4
12.5
12.6
12.7
12.8
12.9
13.0
13.1
13.2
13.3
13.4
13.5
13.6
13.7
13.8
13.9
14.0
Base Reproduction Number R₀
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1.0
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0 [2020 WHO]
2.1
2.2 [2020 Zhao et al.], [2020 Riou & Althaus], [2020 Qun Li et al.]
2.3
2.4
2.5 default [2020 Imai]
2.6 [2020 Majumder et al.]
2.7 [2020 Joseph et al.]
2.8 [2020 Liu, Ying et al.]
2.9 [2020 Liu et al.]
3.0
3.1 [2020 Read et al.]
3.2
3.3 [2020 Liu, Ying et al.]
3.4
3.5
3.6 [2020 Zhao et al.]
3.7
3.8
4.9
4.0
4.1 [2020 Cao et al.]
4.2
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0
5.1
5.2
5.3
5.4
5.5
5.6
5.7
5.8
5.9
6.0
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.6
6.7
6.8
6.9
7.0
Case Fatality Risk (CFR) in %
0.0 / nobody dies
0.1 / Seasonal Flu
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6 Diamond Princess [2020 Wilson et al.]
0.7
0.8 China w/o Hubei [2020 Wilson et al.]
0.9 [2020 Mizumoto & Chowell]
1.0 default
1.1 China [2020 Russell at al.]
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.5
1.6
1.7
1.8
1.9
2.0
2.1
2.2
2.3 Diamond Princess [2020 Russell at al.]
2.4
2.5
2.6
2.7
2.8
2.9
3.0
3.1
3.2
3.3
3.4
3.5
3.6
3.7
3.8
3.9
4.0
4.1
4.2 w/o China [2020 Wilson et al.]
4.3
4.4
4.5
4.6
4.7
4.8
4.9
5.0
Total Population
Estimated undetected Cases per Confirmed Case Factor
Acute Care Hospitalization Rate in %
Acute Care Capacity Increase in %
Critical/Intensive Care Admission Rate in %
Critical/Intensive Care Capacity Increase in %
Critical Care Fatality Risk on Overload
Acute Care Fatality Risk on Overload
Initial Exposed/Latent
Initial Infectious
Initial Recovered
Initial Deceased
Interventions/Mitigations
Base Reproduction Number R₀
Start Date
End Date
Logaritmic Scale
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